Analytics
Yes is at 46.5%, up 41 points from 6% when the market opened on 6 Aug 2026.
Across the 82 daily closes on record from 6 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 51.5% on 7 Aug 2026 and the lowest 4% on 13 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 49%; a month before, 13%. Its largest one-day move was 46 points up, to 51.5% on 7 Aug 2026.
It is one of 50 markets under “NCAA Football: CFB Playoffs team to make Semis”.
The order book holds $501.07, with a 89.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
Trading closes on 29 Jan 2027, 91 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 3:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 82 points, 6 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026 | 6.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 47.5% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team reaches the semifinal round of the 2026 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". The "semifinal round" refers to the round of the 12-team College Football Playoff for the 2026 season in which four teams remain (the winners of the four quarterfinal games). A team counts as reaching the semifinals if it is scheduled to play in a semifinal game by winning its quarterfinal game. If the College Football Playoff for the 2026 season is canceled or the semifinal round is not played by January 28, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the College Football Playoff (https://collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ncaa-football-cfb-playoffs-team-to-make-semis-20260803204732734
37 more markets, none above 47.8%.
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