Analytics
Resolved Yes on 17 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 43.5%. Yes opened at 44% on 11 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 11 Oct 2025 to 17 Oct 2025, the highest close was 60.5% on 13 Oct 2025 and the lowest 40% on 14 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 40% on 14 Oct 2025. $16.17K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 19, 12:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 11 Oct 2025 – 17 Oct 2025, chart shows 30%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2025 | 44.0% |
| 17 Oct 2025 | 43.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 130.01 |
| risk.reward | No | 77.46 |
| shine | No | 49 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under “Paid Apps”, as of October 17, 2025, at 12:00 PM ET. To find the overall chart, click “Apps” at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to “Top Paid Apps” and click “See All.” Then under “Paid Apps” in the “Top Charts” section, you’ll see the list that will be used as the resolution source for this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/1-paid-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-october-17
| No |
| 41.99 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 39 |
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