Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 309 | $0.886 | $302.2 | +$28.28 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 83.29 | $0.960 | $79.96 | Feb 12, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 3.13 |
| $0.600 |
| $2.93 |
| +$1.05 |
| buy |
| 309 |
| $0.886 |
| $273.92 |
| Jan 31, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?No | buy | 291.11 | $0.986 | $287 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?No | buy | 200.89 | $0.994 | $199.66 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?No | sell | 42.3 | $0.870 | $36.8 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Argentina in October?Yes | sell | 71.67 | $0.140 | $10.03 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?No | sell | 20.83 | $0.230 | $4.79 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?No | sell | 13.79 | $0.800 | $11.03 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | sell | 74.98 | $0.790 | $59.23 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 James Comey arrested by October 31?Yes | sell | 49.53 | $0.014 | $0.69 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass by October 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.910 | $9.1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2025?No | sell | 30.33 | $0.790 | $23.96 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 "The Witcher: Season 4" Rotten Tomatoes score is less than 45?No | sell | 13.19 | $0.830 | $10.95 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will the US add between 0 and 25k jobs in September?No | sell | 72.45 | $0.330 | $23.91 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 25.97 | $0.250 | $6.49 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Grok 5 released by December 31?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.270 | $6.75 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?No | sell | 20.3 | $0.610 | $12.38 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | sell | 5 | $0.560 | $2.8 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO in 2025?Yes | sell | 9.11 | $0.140 | $1.28 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO in 2025?Yes | sell | 8.41 | $0.190 | $1.6 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO in 2025?Yes | sell | 8.46 | $0.220 | $1.86 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?No | sell | 66.98 | $0.740 | $49.57 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?No | sell | 51.34 | $0.420 | $21.56 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Las Vegas Sands (LVS) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | sell | 25.99 | $0.630 | $16.37 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be <40.0% on December 31?No | sell | 5.09 | $0.910 | $4.63 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Russian Capture EditionNo | sell | 8.09 | $0.690 | $5.58 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 10.01 | $0.680 | $6.81 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?Yes | sell | 6.94 | $0.580 | $4.03 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?Yes | sell | 76.66 | $0.200 | $15.33 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | sell | 27.66 | $0.400 | $11.06 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani get between 40% and 50% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 51.99 | $0.730 | $37.95 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Abstract launch a token in 2025?No | sell | 20 | $0.780 | $15.6 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 First enacted funding bill include ACA premium subsidy extension?Yes | sell | 15.78 | $0.340 | $5.37 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will another MrBeast video get 100m+ week 1 views by November 30?Yes | sell | 77.91 | $0.380 | $29.61 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will the Giants trade for Jaylen Waddle?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.120 | $6 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will the Giants trade for Jaylen Waddle?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.130 | $3.38 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?No | sell | 6.54 | $0.550 | $3.6 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Opensea launch a token by December 31?Yes | sell | 76.66 | $0.010 | $0.77 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?Yes | sell | 20.9 | $0.210 | $4.39 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?No | sell | 56.78 | $0.870 | $49.4 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 40.39 | $0.230 | $9.29 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?Yes | sell | 19.44 | $0.220 | $4.28 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Tim Keller win the 2025 Albuquerque mayoral election?No | sell | 30.22 | $0.040 | $1.21 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in October?Yes | sell | 16.89 | $0.770 | $13.01 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?No | sell | 26 | $0.420 | $10.92 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in October?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.770 | $20.02 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will CBRE Group (CBRE) beat quarterly earnings?No | sell | 8.33 | $0.540 | $4.5 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2026?No | sell | 25.99 | $0.900 | $23.39 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 24?Yes | sell | 39.48 | $0.060 | $2.37 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?No | sell | 51.87 | $0.830 | $43.05 | Oct 21, 2025 |