Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 95.5%. Yes opened at 30.5% on 5 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 5 Aug 2026 to 14 Aug 2026, the highest close was 34.5% on 6 Aug 2026 and the lowest 4.5% on 14 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 11% on 8 Aug 2026. $40.52K traded over the market's life.
53 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 15, 9:48 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 5 Aug 2026 – 14 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Aug 2026 | 30.5% |
| 14 Aug 2026 | 4.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| elonbust.ai | Yes | 1.52K |
| carmenprofit | Yes | 327.1 |
| FreshNewBeginning | Yes | 300 |
| aydabol | Yes | 212.77 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is confirmed to have attended the wedding of Cristiano Ronaldo and Georgina Rodriguez between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the wedding is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the wedding. A qualifying wedding must both occur and be known to have occurred within the specified timeframe. Attendance at a wedding which occurred before market creation will not qualify. If it is confirmed that a wedding between Cristiano Ronaldo and Georgina Rodriguez occurred before market creation, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-attend-cristiano-ronaldos-wedding-20260803185630253
| o-1j8y54 | Yes | 200 |
| Cescoli | Yes | 153.33 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| FredericChopin | Yes | 149.99 |
| Alchemista1 | Yes | 100 |
| sanduspace | Yes | 100 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
