Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 4 | $0.030 | $0.78 | +$0.66 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30?Yes | sell | 9.04 | $0.011 | $0.1 | 7d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 12.5 |
| $0.080 |
| $0.6 |
| -$0.4 |
 Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31? | Yes | 4.35 | $0.024 | $0.38 | +$0.27 |
 Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 2 | $0.020 | $0.3 | +$0.26 |
 Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.18 | $0.070 | $0.18 | -$0.04 |
 New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 3.75 | $0.040 | $0.17 | +$0.01 |
 Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 4.01 | $0.030 | $0.16 | +$0.04 |
 FDA approves Retatrutide this year? | Yes | 2.6 | $0.025 | $0.14 | +$0.08 |
 Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? | Yes | 4.75 | $0.034 | $0.14 | -$0.03 |
 Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | Yes | 1.5 | $0.020 | $0.11 | +$0.08 |
 Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.99 | $0.080 | $0.1 | +$0.02 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 3.5 | $0.038 | $0.09 | -$0.05 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | Yes | 1 | $0.070 | $0.08 | +$0.01 |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.17 | $0.050 | $0.06 | +$0.01 |
 Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | Yes | 1.21 | $0.025 | $0.06 | +$0.03 |
 Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? | Yes | 1.42 | $0.062 | $0.05 | -$0.04 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NM-02 House seat? | No | 0.4 | $0.050 | $0.05 | +$0.03 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? | Yes | 1.2 | $0.060 | $0.04 | -$0.03 |
 Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 0.5 | $0.060 | $0.04 | +$0.01 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3.75 | $0.016 | $0.04 | -$0.02 |
 US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? | Yes | 0.87 | $0.080 | $0.04 | -$0.03 |
 Will John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 1.6 | $0.050 | $0.03 | -$0.05 |
 Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 1.5 | $0.055 | $0.03 | -$0.05 |
 Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 1.91 | $0.040 | $0.03 | -$0.05 |
 Ventuals FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 1 | $0.035 | $0.02 | -$0.01 |
| sell |
| 20 |
| $0.011 |
| $0.22 |
| 7d ago |
 Will Benoni Mendes win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Yes | sell | 5.05 | $0.003 | $0.02 | 12d ago |
| Will Benoni Mendes win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.003 | $0.15 | 12d ago |
 Will Christian McCaffrey win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.002 | $0.14 | 16d ago |
 Will Waymo operate in 32 or more cities on December 31 2026?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.002 | $0.14 | 19d ago |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.007 | $0.56 | 20d ago |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.006 | $0.03 | 20d ago |
 Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.003 | $0.24 | 20d ago |
 Will Wisconsin order a Democratic governor primary recount by August 31?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.002 | $0.08 | 20d ago |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by August 31?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.007 | $0.21 | 21d ago |
 Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.007 | $0.35 | 21d ago |
 Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.004 | $0.48 | 22d ago |
 Will Lise-Lotte Bensköld Olsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.001 | $0.03 | 22d ago |
 Will the People’s Bank of China increase rates by September 30?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.002 | $0.05 | 23d ago |
| Will the People’s Bank of China increase rates by September 30?Yes | sell | 35.98 | $0.003 | $0.11 | 23d ago |
 Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.9% and 2.1%?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.002 | $0.6 | 23d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.001 | $0.1 | 24d ago |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.017 | $0.09 | 24d ago |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.017 | $0.51 | 24d ago |
 Iran leadership change by August 22?Yes | sell | 38 | $0.005 | $0.19 | 24d ago |
| Iran leadership change by August 22?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.006 | $0.07 | 24d ago |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 31.25 | $0.008 | $0.25 | 24d ago |
 Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.010 | $0.1 | 24d ago |
 Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | 25d ago |
| Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | 25d ago |
 Will Luís Eduardo Falcão win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.002 | $0.06 | 26d ago |
 Will Yabloko win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 27.5 | $0.004 | $0.11 | 26d ago |
| Will Yabloko win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 5.36 | $0.005 | $0.03 | 26d ago |
 Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by August 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.004 | $0.4 | 26d ago |
 Will the Labour Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.010 | $0.29 | 26d ago |
| Will the Labour Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.013 | $0.07 | 26d ago |
 Will "DTF St. Louis" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.009 | $0.27 | 26d ago |
 Will OpenAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 37.5 | $0.012 | $0.45 | 27d ago |
 Will Sinja Münzberg win the next Hannover Region presidential election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.002 | $0.04 | 27d ago |
| Will Sinja Münzberg win the next Hannover Region presidential election?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.010 | $0.15 | 27d ago |
 Will Nigel Farage win less than 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.003 | $0.24 | 28d ago |
| Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.004 | $0.1 | 28d ago |
 Will Gabriel Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.003 | $0.12 | 28d ago |
 Will William Clouston get second place in the Clacton by-election?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.001 | $0.01 | 28d ago |
| Will William Clouston get second place in the Clacton by-election?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.001 | $0.09 | 28d ago |
 Will annual inflation be 3.9% in July?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.002 | $0.05 | 29d ago |
 Will Catherine O'Hara be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.013 | $0.07 | 29d ago |
| Will Catherine O'Hara be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.011 | $0.44 | 29d ago |
 Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.002 | $0.03 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?Yes | sell | 13.32 | $0.003 | $0.04 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?Yes | sell | 5.66 | $0.005 | $0.03 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.001 | $0.12 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.014 | $0.07 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.013 | $0.39 | Aug 10, 2026 |