Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 79% on 18 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 291 daily closes on record from 18 Mar 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 100% on 29 Dec 2025 and the lowest 49.8% on 3 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 40 points down, to 50% on 11 Sep 2025. $27.57K traded over the market's life.
35 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 9:55 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 291 points, 18 Mar 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Mar 2025 | 79.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 99.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| jontra | No | 1.22K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 461.53 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 281 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Chuck Schumer remains the Minority Leader of the United States Senate without interruption from March 17, 2025, through December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-schumer-remain-minority-leader-through-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Hensch | No | 234.2 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 209 |
| dmsc | No | 200 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 195 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 181 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 153 |
| lissartter | No | 130.66 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
