Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US recession by end of 2026?No | sell | 31.78 | $0.920 | $29.24 | 28d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 217.23 |
| $0.910 |
| $197.68 |
| 28d ago |
 North Korea missile launch by January 31?Yes | buy | 125.25 | $0.399 | $50 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 31?Yes | buy | 263.6 | $0.379 | $100 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?No | buy | 4K | $0.001 | $4 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?No | buy | 181.82 | $0.110 | $20 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.220 | $11 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Schumer remain Minority Leader through 2025?No | buy | 200 | $0.068 | $13.59 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No | buy | 190.57 | $0.525 | $100 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes | sell | 53 | $0.190 | $10.07 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Carolyn Maloney be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Yes | buy | 48.59 | $0.103 | $5 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Will Liam Elkind be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Yes | buy | 42.1 | $0.119 | $5 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket mindshare hit 70%?No | buy | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Ubisoft announce bankruptcy by June 30?No | buy | 6.16 | $0.530 | $3.26 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 70%?No | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?No | sell | 17.03 | $0.870 | $14.82 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 US takes Panama Canal before 2027?No | sell | 7.6 | $0.870 | $6.61 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.150 | $7.95 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will Infrared launch a token by December 31 2025?Yes | sell | 31.1 | $0.639 | $19.88 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will Arc launch a token by March 31 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.665 | $13.3 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Will Infrared launch a token by December 31 2025?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.590 | $17.7 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will Arc launch a token by March 31 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will Infrared launch a token by December 31 2025?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.590 | $17.7 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | sell | 49.2 | $0.890 | $43.79 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?No | sell | 7.82 | $0.878 | $6.86 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Uniswap protocol fee switch enabled by December 31?No | sell | 13.34 | $0.023 | $0.31 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?No | buy | 7.83 | $0.580 | $4.54 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Uniswap protocol fee switch enabled by December 31?No | sell | 13.34 | $0.340 | $4.54 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?No | buy | 17.04 | $0.780 | $13.29 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Uniswap protocol fee switch enabled by December 31?No | sell | 26.68 | $0.430 | $11.47 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No | buy | 26.67 | $0.750 | $20 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 133.33 | $0.160 | $21.33 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| US takes Panama Canal before 2027?No | buy | 7.61 | $0.920 | $7 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Uniswap protocol fee switch enabled by December 31?No | buy | 27.27 | $0.550 | $15 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by December 31?No | sell | 22.47 | $0.957 | $21.5 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Uniswap protocol fee switch enabled by December 31?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.570 | $3 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Uniswap protocol fee switch enabled by December 31?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.720 | $15 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 10.98 | $0.820 | $9 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Stable launch a token in 2025?No | sell | 80 | $0.304 | $24.34 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Stable launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 60 | $0.250 | $15 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will Stable launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?No | sell | 27.73 | $0.849 | $23.54 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 38.23 | $0.780 | $29.82 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?No | buy | 27.74 | $0.721 | $20 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by December 31?No | buy | 22.47 | $0.890 | $20 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | buy | 31.78 | $0.629 | $20 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.150 | $20 | Oct 1, 2025 |