Analytics
Yes is at 3.4%, down 47 points from 50% when the market opened on 1 Aug 2026.
Across the 83 daily closes on record from 1 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 1 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.6% on 5 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.6%; a month before, 4.3%. Its largest one-day move was 46 points down, to 4% on 2 Aug 2026.
It is one of 10 markets under “NCAA Football 2026 American CUSA Conference: Winner”.
$12.8 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $137.79 since listing. The order book holds $1.9K, with a 4.7% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 59 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 104.
Trading closes on 19 Dec 2026, 50 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 2:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 83 points, 1 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 3.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 103.7 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 58.9 |
| algo168 | No | 40 |
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Conference USA Football Championship Game, determining the champion of Conference USA for the 2026 college football season, currently scheduled for December 4, 2026. If this championship is postponed after December 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple teams are declared co-champions, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Conference USA (https://conferenceusa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ncaa-football-2026-american-cusa-conference-winner-20260731204312697
| Haradwaith |
| Yes |
| 39.99 |
| macrosteaks | No | 39.99 |
| pppnn | Yes | 20 |
| lolzzzlol | Yes | 20 |
| PPMT | Yes | 17.8 |
| crckr | Yes | 12 |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7. | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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