- What is the “Will Sam Altman join Grok by Dec 31?” market asking?
- It asks whether the following will happen: Will Sam Altman join Grok by Dec 31? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
- What do the Yes and No prices mean?
- At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
- When does this market close?
- Trading is scheduled to close on Dec 31, 2023. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
- How does this market resolve?
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman officially joins xAI/Grok, in any capacity, by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." Joining Grok could involve, but is not limited to, becoming an employee, advisor, board member, or taking on an executive role within the company. Confirmation must come from an official xAI/Grok announcement, an official statement by Sam Altman or Elon Musk, or credible news reporting.
- What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
- 24h volume ($0) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
- Who holds the biggest positions in this market?
- Vultax loaded 1 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 100.0% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.
