- What is the “Will Sam Altman join Grok by Dec 31?” market asking?
- It asks whether the following will happen: Will Sam Altman join Grok by Dec 31? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
- What do the Yes and No prices mean?
- At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
- How did this market resolve?
- It resolved No on 1 Jan 2024. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
- How does this market resolve?
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman officially joins xAI/Grok, in any capacity, by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." Joining Grok could involve, but is not limited to, becoming an employee, advisor, board member, or taking on an executive role within the company. Confirmation must come from an official xAI/Grok announcement, an official statement by Sam Altman or Elon Musk, or credible news reporting.
- What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
- Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
- Who still holds shares in this market?
