Resolved No on 29 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.9%. Yes opened at 25% on 5 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 52 daily closes on record from 5 Sep 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 25% on 5 Sep 2026 and the lowest 1.1% on 28 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 13% on 6 Sep 2026. $3.79K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 29, 10:40 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 52 points, 5 Sep 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | 25.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.56K |
| northdrawer | Yes | 480 |
| haveagoodday | Yes | 455.4 |
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-election-rzp-zehut-of-seats
| balthazar | Yes | 394.96 |
| Iseedeadpoeple | Yes | 247.99 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 179.73 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 128.68 |
| Bodytobody | Yes | 116 |
| MELECHPRO | Yes | 81.26 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 68.82 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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