Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 14.5% on 11 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 163 daily closes on record from 11 May 2025 to 20 Oct 2025, the highest close was 14.5% on 11 May 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 18 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 3.5% on 12 May 2025. $228.83K traded over the market's life.
45 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 20, 4:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 163 points, 11 May 2025 – 20 Oct 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 May 2025 | 14.5% |
| 20 Oct 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.62M |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum | Yes | 95.83K |
| gudsudo | Yes | 50K |
The second round of the Bolivian presidential election is scheduled to take place on 19 October 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bolivia-presidential-election
| aureli | Yes | 42.91K |
| Immense-Predecessor | Yes | 39.1K |
| Siziriv | Yes | 27.81K |
| Silver Lynx 743F | Yes | 23.31K |
| mlferker | Yes | 19.52K |
| lissartter | Yes | 10.97K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 9.12K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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