Analytics
Resolved No on 23 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 29.8% on 20 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 70 daily closes on record from 20 Feb 2026 to 23 May 2026 (23 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 58% on 22 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 21 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 44 points down, to 13.6% on 23 Feb 2026. $16.06K traded over the market's life.
34 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 23, 6:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 70 points, 20 Feb 2026 – 23 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Feb 2026 | 29.8% |
| 23 May 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 7.47K |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 217.01 |
| berk2 | Yes | 95.24 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/oregon-republican-senate-primary-winner
| Yes |
| 30 |
| rated | Yes | 27 |
| Bountiful-Chance | Yes | 25.42 |
| i-race | Yes | 23.21 |
| HerrieDavis | Yes | 22.99 |
| Turbulent-Decline-Router | Yes | 22 |
| Sociable-Quartet | Yes | 13 |
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