Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 800.68 | $0.615 | $748.64 | +$256.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 12 | $0.760 | $9.12 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 713.63 |
| $0.852 |
| $573.4 |
| -$34.35 |
 Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 555.89 | $0.955 | $555.61 | +$24.83 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 830.85 | $0.686 | $444.09 | -$126 |
 Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | No | 400.69 | $0.913 | $391.47 | +$25.5 |
 Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 365 | $0.974 | $362.99 | +$7.51 |
 Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 362 | $0.971 | $361.82 | +$10.27 |
 Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 356 | $0.985 | $355.47 | +$4.84 |
 Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 350 | $0.978 | $346.68 | +$4.37 |
 Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 640.06 | $0.287 | $336.03 | +$152.59 |
 Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 319 | $0.987 | $318.52 | +$3.63 |
 Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 300.01 | $0.973 | $299.86 | +$7.82 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 300 | $0.984 | $299.25 | +$4.01 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 300 | $0.983 | $296.85 | +$1.95 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 300.25 | $0.835 | $291.09 | +$40.27 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 300 | $0.955 | $289.2 | +$2.7 |
 Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition? | No | 289.39 | $0.884 | $288.67 | +$32.9 |
 Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 284.06 | $0.981 | $283.92 | +$5.38 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 300.49 | $0.921 | $270.59 | -$6.06 |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | 274.84 | $0.939 | $268.1 | +$9.99 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 292 | $0.794 | $249.66 | +$17.87 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | No | 250 | $0.900 | $244.75 | +$19.75 |
| No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 | No | 279.26 | $0.884 | $235.98 | -$10.92 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Yes | 305 | $0.181 | $233.33 | +$178.13 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 336.37 | $0.685 | $227.05 | -$3.23 |
| buy |
| 12 |
| $0.975 |
| $11.7 |
| Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran during the week of February 22-28, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.180 | $1.44 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.290 | $2.9 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran first?US | buy | 6 | $0.520 | $3.12 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.330 | $11.55 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 47 | $0.680 | $31.96 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.190 | $5.51 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.510 | $2.55 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.190 | $1.71 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.510 | $2.55 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 23.56 | $0.490 | $11.54 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.490 | $12.74 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast's latest video get between 39 and 41 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?No | buy | 127 | $0.500 | $63.5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get between 39 and 41 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.140 | $1.96 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get between 39 and 41 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.150 | $2.1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.120 | $1.2 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?No | buy | 25.09 | $0.640 | $16.06 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 45 | $0.800 | $36 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.360 | $10.08 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.360 | $15.12 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?Yes | buy | 6.02 | $0.190 | $1.14 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.490 | $5.39 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.510 | $5.1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.490 | $5.39 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Somalia next?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.740 | $8.14 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.360 | $2.16 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 28?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.070 | $1.68 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m?Yes | buy | 47 | $0.033 | $1.57 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?No | buy | 27 | $0.770 | $20.79 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.780 | $17.16 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.780 | $17.16 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.780 | $7.8 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 290 | $0.210 | $60.9 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?No | buy | 27 | $0.770 | $20.79 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get between 39 and 41 million views on week 1?No | buy | 20.54 | $0.800 | $16.43 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.780 | $17.16 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.550 | $12.65 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.310 | $15.5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.260 | $78 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first?US | buy | 151 | $0.540 | $81.54 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 24 | $0.310 | $7.44 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get between 39 and 41 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.180 | $5.04 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first?US | buy | 8 | $0.550 | $4.4 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.540 | $13.5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.510 | $5.1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.280 | $4.76 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.670 | $20.1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first?US | buy | 73.24 | $0.560 | $41.01 | Feb 27, 2026 |