Analytics
Yes is at 35.5%, up 18 points from 18% when the market opened on 18 Sep 2026.
Across the 39 daily closes on record from 18 Sep 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 64.5% on 9 Oct 2026 and the lowest 18% on 18 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 23.5%; a month before, 32.5%. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 46.5% on 5 Oct 2026.
Robinhood is the favourite of the 5 outcomes in “First to list tokenized stocks in the US?”, ahead of No listing by December 31, 2027 at 29.8%.
$19.92K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $16.23K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 250 trades, $2.75K bought Yes and $3.91K bought No; the largest was a $1.5K buy of No at 61.4¢.
The largest Yes position is MaxEnt with 1.2K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 2.3K. Ten wallets hold 87.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 1:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 39 points, 18 Sep 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Sep 2026 | 18.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 35.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.33K |
| MaxEnt | Yes | 1.18K |
| Neon Atlas F332 | Yes | 539.01 |
This market will resolve to the first of the listed platforms to make tokenized stocks available for purchase in the United States after September 17, 2026. If none of the listed platforms do so by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No listing by December 31, 2027". A tokenized stock means a blockchain-based token that represents one share, or a fraction of a share, of a stock or ETF listed on a U.S. national securities exchange (such as Nasdaq or the NYSE) and is either backed one-to-one by that security or is itself a share of that security recorded on a blockchain. Tokens tracking shares of private companies, synthetic or derivative products that track a stock's price without being backed by the underlying shares, and stablecoins will not count. Tokenized stocks are available on a platform when customers holding a U.S. account with that platform are able to buy at least one tokenized stock on that platform, regardless of subscription tier or account minimum. Availability to customers in at least one U.S. state will qualify. Availability limited to customers outside the United States, accredited investors, internal or employee testing, waitlists, and invite-only programs will not qualify. Purchases through a self-custodial wallet or a decentralized exchange, including one reached through the platform's app, will not count. Announcements alone will not qualify. If two or more listed platforms qualify on the same calendar day (ET), this market will resolve to the platform whose tokenized stocks became purchasable first; if that order cannot be established, to the platform that first publicly confirmed availability. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the platforms; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/first-to-list-tokenized-stocks-in-the-us
| cigarettes | Yes | 360 |
| Bright Sphinx 1B73 | Yes | 312.31 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 287.85 |
| Prof.Money-Exterminator | No | 262.69 |
| 123987456 | Yes | 200 |
| PMTraderAdam | No | 199.99 |
| haouibao | Yes | 125 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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