Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 19 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 49.5% on 19 May 2026 and the low 0.1% on 20 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 12% on 20 May 2026. $5.82K traded over the market's life.
33 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 21, 11:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 34 points, 19 May 2026 – 21 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 May 2026 | 49.5% |
| 21 Jun 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.04K |
| nelbal8486 | Yes | 1.87K |
| Jesetrading | Yes | 360 |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum | Yes | 151 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in June 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/). If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/makerfield-by-election-margin-of-victory
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| Oklmntrader | Yes | 82.74 |
| MrMarket | Yes | 81.9 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 79.99 |
| Grave-Agriculture | Yes | 78.43 |
| 0xReb94dd51ee240ce157787b87ff2e0a639db1-43 | Yes | 60 |
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