Analytics
Trading ended on 28 Oct 2026 with Yes at 99.5%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 51 daily closes on record from 4 Sep 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 73% on 9 Oct 2026 and the lowest 48% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 72.5%; a month before, 67.5%. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 51.5% on 5 Sep 2026.
Rick Shegog is the favourite of the 4 outcomes in “West Tamar Mayoral Election Winner”, ahead of Christina Holmdahl at 0.4%.
$4.27K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is johnpudricion with 470 shares; the largest No position is xtxpleasecallme with 178. Ten wallets hold 86.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Oct 28, 11:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 51 points, 4 Sep 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Sep 2026 | 61.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 48.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| johnpudricion | Yes | 470.42 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 178.09 |
| paddaa | No | 137.89 |
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the West Tamar Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/west-tamar-mayoral-election-winner-2026
| Indigo Signal 2966 |
| No |
| 98.79 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 41.25 |
| Keen Horizon 0805 | Yes | 37.44 |
| NFLandChill | No | 23.4 |
| lissartter | No | 20 |
| Slackjaw | No | 20 |
| 2B9S | No | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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