Analytics
Yes is at 44.5%, down 6.5 points from 51% when the market opened on 9 Jul 2026.
Across the 109 daily closes on record from 9 Jul 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 80% on 4 Sep 2026 and the lowest 30.5% on 15 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 43%; a month before, 43.5%. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 53% on 5 Sep 2026.
June 30, 2027 ranks second of the 3 outcomes in “Will Rho Labs launch a token by ___?”. December 31, 2027 leads at 63.5%; December 31, 2026 is at 5.7%.
$1.25K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $232.82, with a 45.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 54 trades, $183.88 bought Yes and $228.48 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 156 shares; the largest No position is timeistmoney with 90.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 12:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 109 points, 9 Jul 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jul 2026 | 51.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 46.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 156.24 |
| timeistmoney | No | 90 |
| Malganis | No | 88.72 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rho Labs officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Rho Labs will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Rho Labs (https://x.com/Rho_Labs), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-rho-labs-launch-a-token-by-20260708174431628
| GuyFromTinder |
| Yes |
| 29.99 |
| dropmeplease | Yes | 20 |
| Choroo | No | 18.36 |
| UpTheStairs | No | 14.08 |
| pppnn | Yes | 10 |
| EndofBeginning88 | No | 5 |
| Haradwaith | No | 0.03 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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