Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 20.5% on 23 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 314 daily closes on record from 23 Feb 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 25.5% on 5 Mar 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 30 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 7 points up, to 19% on 11 Jun 2025. $316.49K traded over the market's life.
39 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 7:15 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 314 points, 23 Feb 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Feb 2025 | 20.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| rivermarkets | Yes | 5.53K |
| AlexPKeaton | Yes | 700 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 460 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC has completely ended its recommendation for the listed vaccine, meaning it no longer recommends it for any category of individuals by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A reduction in the scope of recommended recipients, or the removal of a recommendation for a specific type of vaccine for the listed disease (e.g. CDC removal of the recommendation for the live oral polio vaccine in 2022) without fully eliminating the recommendation will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official CDC announcements and guidance published on the CDC website (see: https://www.cdc.gov/acip-recs/hcp/vaccine-specific/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-vaccines-will-rfk-end-recommendations-for
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 210 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 190 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 165 |
| power1337 | Yes | 132.95 |
| eNakeVets | Yes | 130 |
| kamarat | Yes | 100 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 90 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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