Analytics
Yes is at 4.1%, down 35 points from 39.5% when the market opened on 21 May 2026.
Across the 155 daily closes on record from 21 May 2026 to 26 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50.5% on 25 May 2026 and the lowest 3.4% on 9 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4.2%; a month before, 6.5%. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 11.5% on 28 May 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Will Relay launch a token by ___?”.
$17.32K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $578.4, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 205 trades, $637.58 bought Yes and $3.28K bought No; the largest was a $1.78K buy of No at 90.8¢.
The largest Yes position is thecaricature with 246 shares; the largest No position is Haradwaith with 232. Ten wallets hold 84.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 67 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 26, 4:58 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 155 points, 21 May 2026 – 26 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 May 2026 | 39.5% |
| 26 Oct 2026 | 4.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| thecaricature | Yes | 246.22 |
| Haradwaith | No | 231.62 |
| ValdeMURRR | No | 161.18 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Relay officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Relay will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Relay (https://x.com/Relayprotocol), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-relay-launch-a-token-by
| comeNgetMe |
| No |
| 112.36 |
| acal | Yes | 100 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 83.15 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 67.58 |
| lakatosnapoleon | No | 62 |
| shoobadooba18 | Yes | 50 |
| Veyki | No | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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