Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 42.5% on 23 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 23 Jul 2026 to 14 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 42.5% on 23 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 13 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 12% on 24 Jul 2026. $36.61K traded over the market's life.
31 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 23 Jul 2026 – 14 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Jul 2026 | 42.5% |
| 14 Aug 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 15.32K |
| Royal Pulse AF37 | Yes | 757.46 |
| flawfence | Yes | 531.21 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/south-carolina-senate-special-republican-primary-first-round-winner-20260721172033648
| Yes |
| 151.72 |
| Turbulent-Decline-Router | Yes | 150 |
| Rapid Quasar 51BA | Yes | 97.47 |
| Pesky-Cranberry | Yes | 76.92 |
| Inads | Yes | 64 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| menthe2 | Yes | 50 |
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