Analytics
Resolved Nawrocki on 2 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Nawrocki at 96%. The Trzaskowski side opened at 31% on 22 May 2025. Before it settled, the high was 31% on 22 May 2025 and the low 4% on 2 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 4% on 2 Jun 2025. $79.33K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 3, 4:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Trzaskowski price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 22 May 2025 – 2 Jun 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Trzaskowski price |
|---|---|
| 22 May 2025 | 31.0% |
| 2 Jun 2025 | 4.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Amahara | Trzaskowski | 1.64K |
| Cahirkrk | Trzaskowski | 131.58 |
| makss | Trzaskowski | 67.96 |
| uppers | Nawrocki | 0.03 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Trzaskowski" if Rafał Trzaskowski receives more total votes than Karol Nawrocki in the listed district in the second round of the 2025 Polish presidential election. This market will resolve to "Nawrocki" if Karol Nawrocki receives more total votes than Rafał Trzaskowski in the listed district. If votes cast within the listed district are exactly equal for each candidate, this market will resolve 50-50. Only votes cast within the listed district will count for the purposes of this market. The resolution will be based on the official results published by Poland’s National Electoral Commission (Państwowa Komisja Wyborcza, PKW), specifically the results for the listed region. If the results for the listed district are not published or are contested, this market will remain open until the final official totals are confirmed by a ruling from the Supreme Court and published in the Journal of Laws (Dziennik Ustaw). Official results can be found at: https://wybory.gov.pl/prezydent2025/en/wynik/pl
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/polish-presidential-elections-regions
| HamzaUSF | Trzaskowski | 0.02 |
| borogrid | Trzaskowski | 0.01 |
| twark | Nawrocki | 0.01 |
| SYSY.CN | Nawrocki | 0.01 |
| Keen Oracle F2CF | Nawrocki | 0.01 |
| GaySanta | Nawrocki | 0.01 |
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