Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 74% on 10 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 54 daily closes on record from 10 Jul 2025 to 1 Sep 2025, the highest close was 89.5% on 14 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 1 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 50 points down, to 25.4% on 24 Jul 2025. $200.67K traded over the market's life.
92 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 11:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 54 points, 10 Jul 2025 – 1 Sep 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jul 2025 | 74.0% |
| 1 Sep 2025 | 0.4% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pump.fun launches a token and performs an airdrop by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from Pump.fun, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/pumpfun-airdop-by
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 5.14K |
| Yawning-Lottery | Yes | 3.82K |
| felixgo2140 | Yes | 2.5K |
| Bright Kestrel 4097 | Yes | 1.51K |
| Kind-Beggar | Yes | 1.15K |
| rains.it.pours | Yes | 1.09K |
| arbitage | Yes | 930.27 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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