Analytics
Yes is at 71.6%, up 30 points from 41.5% when the market opened on 6 Jan 2026.
Across the 264 daily closes on record from 6 Jan 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (32 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 96.8% on 28 Sep 2026 and the lowest 18% on 5 May 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 71.3%; a month before, 96.8%. Its largest one-day move was 57 points down, to 18% on 5 May 2026.
$19.04K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $382, with a 56.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 196 trades, $1.8K bought Yes and $2.37K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Cait37 with 1K shares; the largest No position is enrico-vasaio with 400. Ten wallets hold 80.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 7:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 264 points, 6 Jan 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jan 2026 | 41.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 74.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cait37 | Yes | 1.02K |
| enrico-vasaio | No | 400 |
| JessicaMann2345 | No | 303 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total Pump.fun buybacks are equal to or greater than $500M by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The primary resolution source for this market will be the buyback tracker available at https://fees.pump.fun/, specifically “Total $PUMP Purchases (USD)”.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-pumpfun-buybacks-hit-500m-by-december-31
| Kyoraku |
| Yes |
| 270.11 |
| XieGuangKun | No | 200 |
| KARACAC | No | 200 |
| dearts | Yes | 180 |
| LornaPredicts | No | 160.32 |
| ShannonStrickland2146 | Yes | 146 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 144.86 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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