Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | Anthropic | 285 | $0.645 | $267.9 | +$84.08 |
 Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No | sell | 638 | $0.080 | $51.04 | Apr 27, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 146 |
| $0.500 |
| $89.79 |
| +$16.79 |
 Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027? | No | 65 | $0.947 | $63.44 | +$1.9 |
 Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 1 | $0.972 | $1 | +$0.03 |
 Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? | Yes | 0.82 | $0.022 | $0.05 | +$0.03 |
 Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? | Yes | 4 | $0.012 | $0.02 | -$0.03 |
 Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 1 | $0.320 | $0.01 | -$0.31 |
| sell |
| 214 |
| $0.080 |
| $17.12 |
| Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No | buy | 852 | $0.090 | $76.68 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.150 | $2.25 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?No | sell | 982 | $0.580 | $569.56 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?No | buy | 982 | $0.670 | $657.94 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No | sell | 613 | $0.720 | $441.36 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No | buy | 613 | $0.840 | $514.92 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026No | sell | 1.46K | $0.780 | $1.14K | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?No | sell | 782 | $0.560 | $437.92 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?No | sell | 138 | $0.550 | $75.9 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026No | buy | 1.46K | $0.880 | $1.28K | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?No | buy | 920 | $0.630 | $579.6 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by 5-10%?No | sell | 17 | $0.550 | $9.35 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by 5-10%?No | sell | 607 | $0.550 | $333.85 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 30 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?No | sell | 533 | $0.510 | $271.83 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 30 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?No | sell | 281 | $0.510 | $143.31 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 30 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?No | buy | 814 | $0.690 | $561.66 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by 5-10%?No | buy | 624 | $0.560 | $349.44 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Ghawar Field by March 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.130 | $13 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027?No | sell | 98 | $0.620 | $60.76 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?No | sell | 616 | $0.620 | $381.92 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?No | sell | 309 | $0.620 | $191.58 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?No | sell | 168 | $0.610 | $102.48 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026No | sell | 1K | $0.360 | $360 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026No | sell | 13 | $0.360 | $4.68 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?No | sell | 321 | $0.450 | $144.45 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?No | buy | 1.19K | $0.640 | $762.24 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026No | buy | 1.01K | $0.400 | $405.2 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?No | buy | 321 | $0.480 | $154.08 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Rhoda Magbitang win Top Chef Season 23?No | sell | 233 | $0.190 | $44.27 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 130 | $0.190 | $24.7 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?No | sell | 282 | $0.540 | $152.28 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Rhoda Magbitang win Top Chef Season 23?No | sell | 600 | $0.180 | $108 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Rhoda Magbitang win Top Chef Season 23?No | sell | 104 | $0.180 | $18.72 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump post "Donald Trump" on Truth Social this week?No | sell | 529 | $0.350 | $185.15 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 578 | $0.160 | $92.48 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?No | buy | 282 | $0.600 | $169.2 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 578 | $0.160 | $92.48 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Rhoda Magbitang win Top Chef Season 23?No | buy | 937 | $0.180 | $168.66 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump post "Donald Trump" on Truth Social this week?No | buy | 529 | $0.420 | $222.18 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 130 | $0.170 | $22.1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?No | sell | 73 | $0.854 | $62.34 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will David Portnoy give another 9+ pizza review by April 30?No | sell | 801 | $0.810 | $648.81 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?No | buy | 73 | $0.868 | $63.36 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?No | sell | 9 | $0.410 | $3.69 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?No | sell | 295 | $0.410 | $120.95 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?No | sell | 181 | $0.410 | $74.21 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?No | sell | 317 | $0.870 | $275.79 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?No | sell | 133 | $0.860 | $114.38 | Mar 10, 2026 |