Will PPI YoY be 6.5% in June?

Resolved

No, settled Jul 15, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$382

Resolved

Settled

Jul 15, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 15 Jul 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 90.3%. Yes opened at 50% on 6 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 6 Jul 2026 to 15 Jul 2026, the highest close was 50% on 6 Jul 2026 and the lowest 4.5% on 10 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 14.5% on 9 Jul 2026. $381.75 traded over the market's life.

13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jul 16, 12:30 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 6 Jul 2026 – 15 Jul 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
6 Jul 2026	50.0%
15 Jul 2026	9.8%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	697.3
e46m3	Yes	150
TENETENET	Yes	100
balthazar	Yes	94.53

10 of 13 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on July 15, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.