Analytics
Resolved No on 23 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 20 Aug 2025. Before it settled, the high was 48.5% on 20 Aug 2025 and the low 0.1% on 23 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 0.1% on 23 Aug 2025. $4.8K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 24, 8:45 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 4 points · 20 Aug 2025 – 23 Aug 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Aug 2025 | 48.5% |
| 23 Aug 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 1.73K |
| S888 | Yes | 422.27 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 269 |
| poolpad | Yes | 200 |
| Neon Scout 507C | Yes | 145.45 |
| qwertzu | Yes | 111.73 |
| Badgolfer | Yes | 100 |
| Newshound | Yes | 23.71 |
| Opusdei | Yes | 18.47 |
| Neon Oracle A8A9 | Yes | 15 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Jerome Powell is scheduled to deliver a speech at the Jackson Hole economic conference entitled "Economic Outlook and Framework Review" at August 22, 2025, 10 AM ET (see https://www.investopedia.com/what-to-expect-from-fed-chair-powell-s-big-speech-friday-11792908). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about the scheduled remarks at the specified event on August 22. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 22, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the audio/video of the listed event.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-powell-say-during-his-speech-at-jackson-hole-on-august-22
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