Analytics
Resolved Yes on 18 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 30%. Yes opened at 40% on 4 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 4 Mar 2026 to 18 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 40% on 4 Mar 2026 and the lowest 29.5% on 14 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 33% on 9 Mar 2026.
33 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 19, 9:14 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 4 Mar 2026 – 18 Mar 2026, chart shows 25%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Mar 2026 | 40.0% |
| 18 Mar 2026 | 30.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ChetterHummin | No | 399.97 |
| Amber Ledger 812B | No | 300 |
| 0xRocket666 | No | 200 |
| GollumGekko | No | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on March 18, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If no such statement happens by March 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uAJsDm9g21w
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-powell-say-during-march-press-conference
| 5atka | No | 200 |
| wobyjt | No | 175.11 |
| puravida | No | 150 |
| wendypeekaboo | No | 100 |
| Rewk | No | 64.79 |
| unoreverse1 | No | 56.57 |
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