What is the “Will Pope Leo visit Germany first?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Will Pope Leo visit Germany first? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Which country will Pope Leo visit first?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved No on 27 Nov 2025. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to the first sovereign country that Pope Leo XIV visits after becoming pope. Italy will not be considered for this market. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Pope Leo XIV physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed country. Whether or not Pope Leo XIV enters the country's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. If Pope Leo XIV doesn't visit any country by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

52 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Nov 27, 12:53 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/which-country-will-pope-leo-visit-first) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved No: Will Pope Leo visit Germany first?

Market referencewill-pope-leo-visit-germany-firstUpdated Nov 27, 2025 UTC

Resolved

No · settled Nov 27, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$63.9K

Resolved

Settled

Nov 27, 2025 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Nov 28, 2025 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Nov 27, 2025 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

91%

Yes / No shares

13.19K / 28.73K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

500

Wallets

131

Loaded notional

$24.34K

No sell at 99.8%

History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Nov 27, 12:00 AM UTC

Points

202

Move

-4.4 pts

Range

0.1% - 4.5%

May 10, 12:00 AM UTC to Nov 27, 12:00 AM UTC

TradesRecent market trade tape linked back into trader pages.

Full tapeCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Trader	Side	Outcome	Price	Shares	Time
shanghaizeiwang02	sell	No	99.8%	10.01	Nov 26, 4:12 AM UTC
WbjMqGrVc	buy	Yes

Which country will Pope Leo visit first?

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will Pope Leo visit Germany first?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will Pope Leo visit Germany first? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Which country will Pope Leo visit first?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved No on 27 Nov 2025. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to the first sovereign country that Pope Leo XIV visits after becoming pope. Italy will not be considered for this market. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Pope Leo XIV physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed country. Whether or not Pope Leo XIV enters the country's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. If Pope Leo XIV doesn't visit any country by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Trader

Side

Outcome

Price

Time

shanghaizeiwang02

sell

99.8%

10.01

Nov 26, 4:12 AM UTC

WbjMqGrVc

buy

Yes