Analytics
Yes is at 1.2%, down 4.3 points from 5.5% when the market opened on 22 Apr 2026.
Across the 188 daily closes on record from 22 Apr 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 22.3% on 2 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 11 Jun 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.5%; a month before, 3.5%. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 0.9% on 3 Jun 2026.
Phil Murphy ranks 26th of the 43 outcomes in “Democratic VP Nominee 2028”. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads at 9.5%; Elissa Slotkin is at 8.1%.
$2.72K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $25.68K, with a 1.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 86 trades, $14.6 bought Yes and $1.02K bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 571 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 2.1K. Ten wallets hold 90.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 8 Nov 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 9:52 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 188 points, 22 Apr 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2026 | 5.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 1.2% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.08K |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 571.01 |
| SiliconBets | Yes | 286.22 |
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/democratic-vp-nominee-2028
30 more outcomes, none above 2.9%.
| Prickly-Eyrie | Yes | 223.3 |
| peepeepooppoop | Yes | 222 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 169.34 |
| awgraewrfa | Yes | 144.3 |
| asdasdasdasdasdasdasd | No | 143.45 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 100.43 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 71 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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