Analytics
Yes is at 2.9%, down 6.7 points from 9.5% when the market opened on 20 Feb 2026.
Across the 224 daily closes on record from 20 Feb 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (28 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 45.8% on 7 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.8% on 25 Mar 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2%; a month before, 10.2%. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 6.3% on 25 May 2026.
Petar Musa ranks second of the 28 outcomes in “MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner”. Lionel Messi leads at 93.8%; Kévin Denkey is at 2.6%.
$14.87K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $2.81K, with a 5.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 252 trades, $887.52 bought Yes and $2.86K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Rentabar with 2.3K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 3.3K. Ten wallets hold 94.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 22 Nov 2026, 25 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 6:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 224 points, 20 Feb 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Feb 2026 | 9.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 2.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.32K |
| Rentabar | Yes | 2.28K |
| macrosteaks | Yes | 249.71 |
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLS Golden Boot. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mls-2026-golden-boot-winner
16 more outcomes, none above 0.1%.
| awgraewrfa |
| Yes |
| 137 |
| Fihdrzgdd | Yes | 125 |
| AMAM13 | Yes | 105 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 104.73 |
| thisaramit | Yes | 91.37 |
| laserjohnny | No | 84.8 |
| wallet-account-test | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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