Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, down 7.3 points from 7.5% when the market opened on 29 Jul 2026.
Across the 90 daily closes on record from 29 Jul 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 7.5% on 29 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 18 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.2%; a month before, 0.3%.
Pedro Pascal ranks 16th of the 22 outcomes in “Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner”. John Malkovich leads at 43.3%; Andrew Scott is at 18.5%.
$5 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $6.11K since listing. The order book holds $10.79K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 162 trades, $18.48 bought Yes and $3.59K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Rapid Kestrel 977F with 2K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 8.5K. Ten wallets hold 91.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 10:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 90 points, 29 Jul 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Jul 2026 | 7.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 8.51K |
| Rapid Kestrel 977F | Yes | 2.01K |
| crckr | Yes | 1.92K |
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/oscars-2027-best-actor-winner-20260727174302919
9 more outcomes, none above 0.3%.
| balthazar |
| Yes |
| 899.12 |
| rainbowlilies | Yes | 529.58 |
| TomTurbo | Yes | 500 |
| Romeo005 | Yes | 401.75 |
| carpe-noctem | Yes | 382.02 |
| golfpro2025 | Yes | 269.38 |
| SnapElectionAvoider | Yes | 244.61 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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