Analytics
Yes is at 32%, up 18 points from 14% when the market opened on 21 Oct 2026.
The high was 32% on 21 Oct 2026 and the low 14% on 21 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 32% on 21 Oct 2026.
It is one of 14 markets under “Which Dota 2 Teams Will Make a Roster Change Before 2027?”.
$87 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $766.6 since listing. The order book holds $36.03, with a 44.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is extractive-manatee with 20 shares; the largest No position is pootytherewardfarmer with 23.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 72 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 21, 4:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 21 Oct 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 10%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2026 | 14.0% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 32.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 22.8 |
| extractive-manatee | Yes | 20 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 2.8 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves the listed team's active Dota 2 roster (defined as the active lineup listed on the listed team's Liquipedia page, https://liquipedia.net/dota2) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The relevant roster is whichever active lineup is listed on the resolution source at market creation. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, loan, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active lineup, and any return of an inactive player to the active lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. A qualifying roster change must occur within this market's timeframe, and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the change appears in the resolution source, it must remain live for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the change itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted or removed before 48 hours have elapsed, the window resets and will not count toward resolution. If the listed team disbands its Dota 2 roster within this market's timeframe, this will count as a roster change. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single match or tournament will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-dota-2-teams-will-make-a-roster-change-before-2027-1792421285780
2 more markets, none above 31.5%.
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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