Analytics
Yes is at 12.7%, down 35 points from 47.5% when the market opened on 30 Jul 2026.
Across the 91 daily closes on record from 30 Jul 2026 to 5 Nov 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 58.5% on 13 Aug 2026 and the lowest 5.5% on 16 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 6%; a month before, 8.5%. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 58.5% on 13 Aug 2026.
It is one of 8 markets under “How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?”.
$12.84K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $480.48, with a 11.7% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 327 trades, $749.14 bought Yes and $3.8K bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 475 shares; the largest No position is hithitfar with 1.1K. Ten wallets hold 83.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 2 Jan 2027, 58 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 11:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 91 points, 30 Jul 2026 – 5 Nov 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2026 | 47.5% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 12.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hithitfar | No | 1.05K |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 475.33 |
| Parz1vaI | No | 309.14 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of Senators voting "Yea" on the first Senate vote on final passage of crypto market structure legislation occurring before January 1, 2027 is above the number specified in this market's title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Above" means strictly greater than the number specified in the title. For example, a market titled "Above 58" will resolve to "Yes" only if 59 or more Senators vote "Yea". For purposes of this market, "crypto market structure legislation" is defined identically to Polymarket's "Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?" market: https://polymarket.com/event/crypto-market-structure-legislation-becomes-law-in-2026-20260727223933088 The qualifying vote must be a vote on final passage of the bill conducted in the full Senate - not a committee vote, and not a vote on a motion to proceed, a motion to invoke cloture, or an amendment. Not every Senator needs to have participated in the vote. The first vote on final passage will be used for resolution regardless of whether the bill passes on that vote; subsequent votes on passage — including any re-vote following a motion to reconsider, or a vote on a conference report or House-amended version — will not be considered. If no qualifying vote occurs before January 1, 2027, this market will resolve to "No". If qualifying legislation passes the Senate before January 1, 2027 without a prior recorded vote on final passage (e.g., passage by voice vote or unanimous consent), this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of the number specified in this market's title. Once the result of the vote has been announced, any subsequent request by a Senator to add, remove, or change a vote will not be considered for purposes of this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally. This market will resolve according to official records of the U.S. Senate (http://senate.gov) and Library of Congress (http://congress.gov).
| rocky42010 |
| Yes |
| 297.72 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 273.75 |
| Garmonbozia | Yes | 150 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 145 |
| SnapElectionAvoider | Yes | 80 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 80 |
| macrosteaks | No | 72.37 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-senators-will-vote-for-the-clarity-act-20260729193533306
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