Analytics
Yes is at 22.5%, down 6.5 points from 29% when the market opened on 9 Sep 2026.
Across the 49 daily closes on record from 9 Sep 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 29% on 9 Sep 2026 and the lowest 6.5% on 28 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 24%; a month before, 14.5%. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 21.5% on 19 Oct 2026.
Ousainou Darboe ranks second of the 7 outcomes in “Gambia Presidential Election Winner”. Adama Barrow leads at 66.5%; Bakary K. Badjie is at 7.3%.
$30 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.76K since listing. The order book holds $1.28K, with a 9.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 51 trades, $647.81 bought Yes and $443.26 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Segodi with 1.5K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 857. Ten wallets hold 96.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 5 Dec 2026, 37 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 49 points, 9 Sep 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Sep 2026 | 29.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 22.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Segodi | Yes | 1.49K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 856.66 |
| macrosteaks | No | 373.04 |
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in The Gambia on December 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Gambian presidential election. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by the Independent Electoral Commission of The Gambia (https://www.iec.gm/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/gambia-presidential-election-winner
| Haradwaith |
| No |
| 220.19 |
| youtube-trader | No | 169.3 |
| buoys | Yes | 105.37 |
| donthackme | No | 92.63 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 91.23 |
| Antony82 | Yes | 50 |
| Spectrum | No | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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