Analytics
Yes is at 7.2%, down 1.3 points from 8.5% when the market opened on 9 Sep 2026.
Across the 44 daily closes on record from 9 Sep 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 11.6% on 1 Oct 2026 and the lowest 2.3% on 20 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.4%; a month before, 6.4%. Its largest one-day move was 5.2 points up, to 11.6% on 1 Oct 2026.
Bakary K. Badjie ranks third of the 7 outcomes in “Gambia Presidential Election Winner”. Adama Barrow leads at 66.5%; Ousainou Darboe is at 22.5%.
$308.74 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.14K, with a 12.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is Haradwaith with 213 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 857.
Trading closes on 5 Dec 2026, 37 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 3:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 44 points, 9 Sep 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Sep 2026 | 8.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 7.2% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 856.66 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 213 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 196.11 |
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in The Gambia on December 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Gambian presidential election. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by the Independent Electoral Commission of The Gambia (https://www.iec.gm/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/gambia-presidential-election-winner
| balthazar | Yes | 175 |
| JordanMooney | Yes | 118.51 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 55 |
| LesterDiamond | Yes | 53.71 |
| Tysha | Yes | 39.06 |
| velorot | Yes | 5 |
| Pitosyflautas | Yes | 1.26 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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