Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 14?

Resolved

No, settled Dec 11, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$39.1K

Resolved

Settled

Dec 11, 2025 UTC

Positions left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Indigo Signal 2966	No	118.43K	0.0%	$0
Heavy-Savage	Yes	2.22K	0.5%	$11.12	Dec 11, 1:08 AM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	Yes	2K	0.0%	$0	Dec 11, 12:56 PM UTC
prophesy	Yes	1K	3.5%	$34.65	Dec 10, 9:03 AM UTC
g1set	Yes	824.14	1.2%	$10	Dec 11, 1:52 PM UTC
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	708.54	0.1%	$0.71
flow-trader-at-optiver	Yes	673.33	0.0%	$0	Dec 11, 10:00 AM UTC
estratega25	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
PredictiveMarkets	Yes	310	1.0%	$3	Dec 11, 11:14 AM UTC
Drual	Yes	300	0.7%	$2.1
Bold Scout BD7E	Yes	224	0.1%	$0.22
nguyen0xhieu	Yes	222.22	0.9%	$2	Dec 11, 4:29 AM UTC
0xRocket666	Yes	150	0.1%	$0.15
CMash	Yes	135.56	1.5%	$2.04	Dec 10, 10:52 PM UTC
jekkkk	Yes	124.44	0.8%	$1	Dec 11, 1:36 PM UTC
SoftG	Yes	107.6	1.0%	$1.08	Dec 11, 12:05 PM UTC
Awotoge	Yes	103.32	1.9%	$2	Dec 10, 7:56 PM UTC
Parched-Insulation	Yes	66.67	1.5%	$1	Dec 9, 2:03 PM UTC
Annual-Dependent	Yes	63.36	1.3%	$0.79
10points	Yes	59.97	3.3%	$2	Dec 9, 6:19 PM UTC
waqass	Yes	58.82	1.7%	$1	Dec 10, 7:10 PM UTC
zxcursed121	Yes	47.61	1.4%	$0.66
EdwardLewis	Yes	30	0.0%	$0	Dec 11, 7:36 AM UTC
Liamyxy	Yes	14	0.1%	$0.01
Deafening-Possible	Yes	14	0.1%	$0.01
rocketcrypto	Yes	12	1.0%	$0.12
u-235	Yes	10	0.0%	$0
tryhard75	Yes	2	0.0%	$0