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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 142.86 | $0.007 | $0.36 | -$0.64 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 402.97 | $0.003 | $1.21 | Mar 10, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.106 |
| $1.06 |
| Mar 10, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 672.33 | $0.030 | $20.17 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 303.03 | $0.033 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 162.35 | $0.034 | $5.52 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETDown | sell | 7.11 | $0.050 | $0.36 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETDown | buy | 7.09 | $0.140 | $0.99 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETDown | buy | 9.77 | $0.310 | $3.03 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Rainbow FDV above $70M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.045 | $1.04 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.071 | $1.18 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 16.39 | $0.098 | $1.61 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 35.7 | $0.151 | $5.41 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 34.48 | $0.035 | $1.21 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by January 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?Yes | buy | 14.49 | $0.069 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Over $40M committed to the Infinex public sale?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Cilia Flores released from custody by January 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.76 | $0.040 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 14?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 53.5 | $0.019 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?Yes | buy | 38.54 | $0.026 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will one person dissent the December Fed decision?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 28.57 | $0.035 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will there be a recount in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.019 | $1.15 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 29-30°F on December 9?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 50°F or below on December 10?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Magnus Carlsen apologize to Hans Niemann in 2025?Yes | buy | 23.85 | $0.042 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Stable launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Gemini 3.0 Flash released by November 30?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.034 | $1 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 U.S. agrees to give Saudi Arabia security guarantee by November 30?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Base launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.035 | $1 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Disney say "Subscriber" during earnings call?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Outdoor Boys post another video by November 30?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI launch a token in 2025?Yes | sell | 43.47 | $0.028 | $1.22 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will Crypto Vikings win the Synthetix trading competition?Yes | sell | 34.46 | $0.003 | $0.1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.019 | $1.9 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 USDT depeg in 2025?Yes | sell | 45.85 | $0.043 | $1.97 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Nov 10, 2025 |