Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.7%. Yes opened at 29.5% on 31 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 120 daily closes on record from 31 Jan 2026 to 1 Jul 2026 (32 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 62.5% on 12 Apr 2026 and the lowest 1.2% on 30 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 51.5% on 11 May 2026. $28.87K traded over the market's life.
52 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 2:59 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 120 points, 31 Jan 2026 – 1 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | 29.5% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 1.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Dangerous-Overweight | Yes | 898.35 |
| Ivory Falcon 02AA | Yes | 658.12 |
| GOPACERS | Yes | 548 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any OpenAI GPT model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/openai-gpt-score-on-humanitys-last-exam-by-june-30
| Yes |
| 411.18 |
| Bold Comet 1C72 | Yes | 118.82 |
| Flawed-Instruction | Yes | 113.64 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| xiaodouzi | Yes | 100 |
| Speedlimit35 | Yes | 61.54 |
| maz-389 | Yes | 53.25 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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