Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $200 before 2026??

Resolved

No, settled Jan 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$30.9K

Resolved

Settled

Jan 1, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 22 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 42 daily closes on record from 22 Nov 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 54.5% on 9 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 27.5% on 10 Dec 2025. $30.95K traded over the market's life.

45 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:03 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 42 points, 22 Nov 2025 – 1 Jan 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
22 Nov 2025	48.5%
1 Jan 2026	0.4%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	384
Albert 1953	Yes	325.8
Emerald Pioneer D14A	Yes	226
Adhd	Yes	201.93

10 of 45 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

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