Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.4%. Yes opened at 25% on 10 Sep 2026. Before it settled, the high was 38% on 27 Sep 2026 and the low 2.6% on 4 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 19% on 28 Sep 2026. $8.16K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 5, 8:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 25 points · 10 Sep 2026 – 4 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Sep 2026 | 25.0% |
| 4 Oct 2026 | 2.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 482.42 |
| Arbout | Yes | 304.52 |
| Decent-Corporal | Yes | 211 |
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group A4 at the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. If the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League is cancelled, postponed after December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uefa-nations-league-2026-27-group-a4-winner
New to prediction markets?
| Bulky-Helo-Athlete | Yes | 196.59 |
| 0x3BcCwgou83vSbjf3avwh3gF3a93cAgD2gG9 | Yes | 188.2 |
| Soltan1350 | Yes | 165 |
| maraya | Yes | 61 |
| COOLICE | Yes | 58.82 |
| heinrichmarloth | Yes | 52.63 |
| jEmr77 | Yes | 51.28 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
