Analytics
Yes is at 1.1%, down 25 points from 26% when the market opened on 10 Sep 2026.
The high was 27% on 12 Sep 2026 and the low 0.7% on 28 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 1.2%. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 12% on 14 Sep 2026.
Denmark ranks second of the 2 outcomes in “UEFA Nations League 2026-27: Group A4 Winner”. Portugal leads at 98.5%.
$878.93 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $729.73, with a 1.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 32 trades, $31.11 bought Yes and $399.56 bought No.
The largest Yes position is TypeShi with 282 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 482.
Trading closes on 2 Dec 2026, 54 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 10, 2:02 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 32 points · 10 Sep 2026 – 10 Oct 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Sep 2026 | 26.0% |
| 10 Oct 2026 | 1.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 482.42 |
| TypeShi | Yes | 281.51 |
| ludvigttt | Yes | 112.39 |
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group A4 at the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. If the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League is cancelled, postponed after December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uefa-nations-league-2026-27-group-a4-winner
| balthazar |
| Yes |
| 50 |
| johnyu | No | 46.95 |
| lololol3 | Yes | 45.02 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 21 |
| Rentabar | Yes | 10 |
| E23Lowriajksb9182912-as-q | Yes | 6.66 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 1.54 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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