Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.3%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 11 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 11 Mar 2026 to 17 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 47.5% on 11 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.7% on 17 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 25.5% on 12 Mar 2026.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 18, 7:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 11 Mar 2026 – 17 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Mar 2026 | 47.5% |
| 17 Mar 2026 | 0.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.39K |
| eightpenguins | Yes | 2.72K |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 333.02 |
| Deadly-Umbrella | Yes | 218.27 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, March 17, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by March 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-the-2-global-netflix-movie-this-week-452
New to prediction markets?
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| CHI11mind | Yes | 75 |
| megadarkparticle | Yes | 50 |
