Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 60%. Yes opened at 18.5% on 5 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 24 daily closes on record from 5 Sep 2025 to 28 Sep 2025, the highest close was 49% on 8 Sep 2025 and the lowest 18.5% on 5 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 43% on 6 Sep 2025. $48.64K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 30, 12:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 5 Sep 2025 – 28 Sep 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2025 | 18.5% |
| 28 Sep 2025 | 40.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 23.81K |
| duderr | Yes | 7.46K |
| ciro2 | Yes | 1.67K |
| Ziigmund | Yes | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the first list candidate which withdraws from or officially announces their withdrawal from the 2025 New York City Mayoral election, or announces the suspension of his 2025 NYC Mayoral campaign, before November 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. If multiple candidates announce their withdrawal simultaneously this market will resolve to the candidate's whose last name comes first alphabetically. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed candidate or their official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-drop-out-of-nyc-mayor-race-first
New to prediction markets?
| 2smart4u | Yes | 940 |
| TheGoober | Yes | 524.05 |
| LukeGamma | Yes | 500 |
| aureli | Yes | 249.2 |
| lissartter | Yes | 211.82 |
| rated | Yes | 125 |
