Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 23% on 25 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 25 Jun 2026 to 30 Jul 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 29.5% on 1 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 0.7% on 20 Jul 2026. $31.97K traded over the market's life.
30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 30, 11:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 25 Jun 2026 – 30 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jun 2026 | 23.0% |
| 30 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.07K |
| JAMJAMJAM4 | Yes | 1.88K |
| Hot-Skull | Yes | 556.41 |
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/sao-tome-and-principe-presidential-election-winner-20260623195739298
| Yes |
| 251.22 |
| p10ama | Yes | 207.14 |
| Oklmntrader | Yes | 158.26 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| Rapid Quasar A1E7 | Yes | 68.67 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| mrBet | Yes | 43.04 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
