Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 43.5% on 20 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 227 daily closes on record from 20 Feb 2026 to 7 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 43.8% on 20 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 6 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 29 points up, to 43.8% on 20 Jun 2026. $2.47K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 8, 3:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 227 points, 20 Feb 2026 – 7 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Feb 2026 | 43.5% |
| 7 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 400.25 |
| Attached-Prairie | Yes | 313 |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7. | Yes | 150 |
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mlb-2026-al-hank-aaron-winner
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 127.99 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 43 |
| pestanimal | Yes | 40 |
| Cosmic Raven 18CF | Yes | 31.98 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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