Analytics
Yes is at 0.4%, down 43 points from 43% when the market opened on 20 Feb 2026.
Across the 226 daily closes on record from 20 Feb 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (28 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 44% on 21 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 6 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.4%; a month before, 0.4%. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 19% on 5 Mar 2026.
Bobby Witt Jr. ranks second of the 5 outcomes in “MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Winner”. Yordan Alvarez leads at 95%; Junior Caminero is at 0.1%.
$898.53 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $3.35K, with a 0.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 32 trades, $27.67 bought Yes and $242.82 bought No.
The largest Yes position is 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. with 150 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 400.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 226 points, 20 Feb 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Feb 2026 | 43.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 0.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 400.25 |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes | 150 |
| Attached-Prairie | Yes | 94.83 |
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mlb-2026-al-hank-aaron-winner
| mustbethewater | Yes | 43 |
| someeasily | Yes | 32 |
| pestanimal | Yes | 25 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 11 |
| Prickly-Eyrie | Yes | 10 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 9 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 6.6 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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