Analytics
Resolved Yes on 25 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 45% on 3 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 23 daily closes on record from 3 Sep 2026 to 25 Sep 2026, the highest close was 100% on 22 Sep 2026 and the lowest 28% on 20 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 51 points up, to 78.5% on 21 Sep 2026. $10.4K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 25, 4:11 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 3 Sep 2026 – 25 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Sep 2026 | 45.0% |
| 25 Sep 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.53K |
| vinii | No | 902.99 |
| bogdanc1 | No | 134.17 |
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/russia-parliamentary-election-4th-place
| No |
| 80.77 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| conherence | No | 37 |
| PPMT | No | 30 |
| frontiertrade | No | 29.99 |
| pipamolodec | No | 15 |
| antonbyar | No | 14.36 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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