Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.9%. Yes opened at 55.5% on 17 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 90 daily closes on record from 17 Sep 2025 to 15 Dec 2025, the highest close was 86% on 27 Sep 2025 and the lowest 3.1% on 15 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 63 points down, to 4.5% on 5 Dec 2025. $29.4K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 17, 12:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 90 points, 17 Sep 2025 – 15 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Sep 2025 | 55.5% |
| 15 Dec 2025 | 3.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| zonh | Yes | 1K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 869.2 |
| FlorianDraxler | Yes | 408.87 |
The final list of participating countries for Eurovision 2026 is expected to be officially published by the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) in mid-to-late December 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country is included in the earliest official list of participants for the Eurovision Song Contest 2026, as announced by the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) or Eurovision by May 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will solely resolve based on the countries mentioned in the first official announcement; subsequent withdrawals or adjustments will not affect the resolution of this market. If no qualifying list is published by May 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) and Eurovision (e.g., https://eurovision.tv); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/eurovision-2026-participants
| Yes |
| 282 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 245 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 241 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 231 |
| vamnizar | Yes | 193 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 160 |
| Newshound | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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