Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 27% on 25 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 162 daily closes on record from 25 Jul 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 68% on 25 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 31 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 39 points up, to 53% on 22 Aug 2025. $12.75K traded over the market's life.
35 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 162 points, 25 Jul 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2025 | 27.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 467.91 |
| lissartter | Yes | 283.49 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 226 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu meets with Ahmed al-Sharaa between July 24 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Benjamin Netanyahu and Ahmed al-Sharaa are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-netanyahu-meet-with-ahmed-al-sharaa-in-2025
| FrankyFourFingers | Yes | 200 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 199 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 164.79 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 136 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 107 |
| gabrieltnt15 | Yes | 81.27 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 73 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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